All four arms captured: the number moves from 0/8 to 4/8
32 recorded rollouts, 8 seeds x 4 agents, every one replaying through the Python engine to a delta of exactly 0. arm solved economy consistency total base-off 0/8 0.000 0.122 0.0244 base-on 4/8 0.469 0.479 0.4865 cautious 8/8 0.944 1.000 0.9831 solver 8/8 1.000 0.719 0.9437 Thinking-off solves none of eight. The same model on the same seeds, sampled with thinking on, solves four. That is the headline, it is ours, and it needed no training — which is also why the run is labelled an intervention and names what was done to it, so a sampling change can never read as a training result. `cautious` is new and it exists to make the reward editor honest. Until now the page invited you to move a slider and watch the ranking change, and no slider changed anything, because the solver dominated a model that solved nothing. A candidate-only player — most informative guess among words that could still win — takes consistency outright and pays for it in turns. Now: only speed matters solver 0.9859 cautious 0.9606 -> solver shipped weights solver 0.9437 cautious 0.9831 -> cautious punish contradictions solver 0.8312 cautious 0.9972 -> cautious The ranking really does flip, on recorded data, with one slider. The first version of this arm picked the alphabetically-first candidate and opened on 'abaci', which made the policy the counterweight exists to reward look like a straw man. 190 contract checks pass. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_019mt6sHQHEnEYrJZvoMCJSB
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@@ -72,6 +72,86 @@
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 7
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s0",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s0.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 0,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s1",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s1.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 1,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s2",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s2.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 2,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s3",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s3.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 3,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s4",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s4.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 4,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s5",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s5.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 5,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s6",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s6.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 6,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "base-on-s7",
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"label": "Allowed to think",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/base-on-s7.json",
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"kind": "intervened",
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"model": "brain-qwen38-dspark",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 7,
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"intervention": "Same model, same seeds, sampled with thinking enabled. No training, no fine-tuning."
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},
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{
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"id": "solver-s0",
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"label": "Best-known play",
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@@ -143,6 +223,78 @@
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"model": "entropy-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 7
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s0",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s0.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 0
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s1",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s1.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 1
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s2",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s2.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 2
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s3",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s3.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 3
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s4",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s4.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 4
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s5",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s5.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 5
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s6",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s6.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 6
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},
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{
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"id": "cautious-s7",
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"label": "Never wastes a guess",
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"path": "/traces/wordle/cautious-s7.json",
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"kind": "generated",
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"model": "candidate-only-solver",
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"capturedAt": "2026-08-28",
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"seed": 7
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}
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]
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}
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